A great post about environmental believers and deniers

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Stephen Fry » Blog Archive » Getting Overheated: "For the eco-believer it’s no-lose situation: we all survive if they’re right and we’ve acted on their belief, we survive if they’re wrong and we’ve acted on their belief. Whereas for the eco-denier we survive if they’re right and we’ve done nothing but we perish if they’re wrong and we’ve done nothing."

The really interesting bit start around the middle of the post, you can search for "It started amicably enough" to get to this part.

What I find really interesting in the argument is that it does not forget the forest (what may be going on) for the tree (the science that tells us, with some uncertainty, what may be going on). We can be so used to focusing on details, numbers, and small facts that we forget what we're really talking about. This post reminded me this quite clearly.

2 Comments

Geoff said:

I have not had a chance to read the article, but that sounds a lot like the environmental corollary to Pascal's Wager :-)

Alan Schmitt Author Profile Page said:

Yes, this is exactly it.

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This page contains a single entry by Alan Schmitt published on November 23, 2007 10:03 AM.

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